Source: Politico

The psychological trick behind Trump’s misleading terror statistics

President Trump has been criticized for tweeting a report that suggests “nearly 3 in 4 individuals convicted of terrorism-related charges are foreign born”,  but there is a fundamental problem with thinking about terrorist risks in this way. The 75 percent statistic ignores the rarity of terrorist-related activities despite the very large number of foreign-born individuals in the United States. Treating 75 percent as a meaningful measure of risk is deceitful—it’s lying with statistics. If an individual is foreign-born, the likelihood that the person has engaged in terrorism-related activities is nearly zero. There are approximately 41 million foreign-born people living in the United States; 402 out of 41 million is a miniscule proportion—less than 0.001 percent. Read more here.

 

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